Trusting Judgements

Name: Trusting Judgements
Brand: Cambridge University Press
SKU: 9781107112087
Price: 413.76 PLN
Availability: InStock

How to Get the Best out of Experts

Autor: Mark A. Burgman

Język:

Oprawa: Twarda

Wydawca: Cambridge University Press

Dostępność: Dostępna u dostawcy

Wysyłamy za 9-15 dni

413.76 zł

Policy and decision makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without fu...

Informacje o książce

Autor

Mark A. Burgman

Język

Angielski

Oprawa

Książka - Twarda

Data wydania

2015

strony

214

EAN

9781107112087

ISBN

1107112087

Enbook ID

09361220

Wydawca

Cambridge University Press

Waga

460

Wymiary

158 x 237 x 15

Pełny opis

Policy and decision makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy and decision makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made.

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Trusting Judgements

How to Get the Best out of Experts

Informacje o książce

Pełny opis

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