Książka Probability Weather Forecasts Arthur C Kyle

Probability Weather Forecasts

For the Army?

Autor: Arthur C Kyle
Język: Angielski
Oprawa: Miękka
Wydawca: Biblioscholar
Dostępność: Dostępna u dostawcy
Wysyłamy za 9-15 dni
75.64
The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However,...

Informacje o książce

Język
Angielski
Oprawa
Książka - Miękka
Data wydania
2012
strony
114
EAN
9781249284826
ISBN
9781249284826
Enbook ID
08126352
Wydawca
Waga
218
Wymiary
189 x 246 x 6

Pełny opis

The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However, this forecast form limits the useful information that can be communicated to the decision maker. This study investigates the utility of replacing categorical forecasts with probability forecasts in order to enhance decision making by Army commanders. To this end, the advantages and limitations of probability forecasts are reviewed. The principal conclusion of this study is that Army commanders would benefit from receiving probability weather forecasts. Finally, several recommendations for smoothing the conversion are given and a briefing that a Staff Weather Officer can use as a basis for showing an Army commander the utility of probability forecasts is provided.

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