Książka Principles of Forecasting J. S. Armstrong

Principles of Forecasting

A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners

Język: Angielski
Oprawa: Miękka
Wydawca: Springer
Dostępność: Dostępna u dostawcy
Wysyłamy za 5-8 dni
2 135.45
Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners summarizes knowledge from ex...

Informacje o książce

Język
Angielski
Oprawa
Książka - Miękka
Data wydania
2002
strony
850
EAN
9780792374015
ISBN
0792374010
Enbook ID
02106172
Wydawca
Waga
1663
Wymiary
178 x 254 x 49

Pełny opis

Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners summarizes knowledge from experts and from empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. It applies to problems such as those in finance (How much is this company worth?), marketing (Will a new product be successful?), personnel (How can we identify the best job candidates?), and production (What level of inventories should be kept?). The book is edited by Professor J. Scott Armstrong of the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Contributions were written by 40 leading experts in forecasting, and the 30 chapters cover all types of forecasting methods. There are judgmental methods such as Delphi, role-playing, and intentions studies. Quantitative methods include econometric methods, expert systems, and extrapolation. Some methods, such as conjoint analysis, analogies, and rule-based forecasting, integrate quantitative and judgmental procedures. In each area, the authors identify what is known in the form of `if-then principles', and they summarize evidence on these principles. The project, developed over a four-year period, represents the first book to summarize all that is known about forecasting and to present it so that it can be used by researchers and practitioners. To ensure that the principles are correct, the authors reviewed one another's papers. In addition, external reviews were provided by more than 120 experts, some of whom reviewed many of the papers. The book includes the first comprehensive forecasting dictionary.

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