Expert Adjustments of Model Forecasts

Name: Expert Adjustments of Model Forecasts
Brand: Cambridge University Press
SKU: 9781107441613
Price: 159.18 PLN
Availability: InStock

Theory, Practice and Strategies for Improvement

Autor: Philip Hans Franses

Język:

Oprawa: Miękka

Wydawca: Cambridge University Press

Dostępność: Dostępna u dostawcy

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To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis...

Informacje o książce

Autor

Philip Hans Franses

Język

Angielski

Oprawa

Książka - Miękka

Data wydania

2014

strony

143

EAN

9781107441613

ISBN

1107441617

Enbook ID

04768000

Wydawca

Cambridge University Press

Waga

212

Wymiary

229 x 153 x 8

Pełny opis

To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis adjust their forecasts based on their own intuition? In this book, Philip Hans Franses, one of Europe's leading econometricians, presents the notion that many publicly available forecasts have experienced an 'expert's touch', and questions whether this type of intervention is useful and if a lighter adjustment would be more beneficial. Covering an extensive research area, this accessible book brings together current theoretical insights and new empirical results to examine expert adjustment from an econometric perspective. The author's analysis is based on a range of real forecasts and the datasets upon which the forecasters relied. The various motivations behind experts' modifications are considered, and guidelines for creating more useful and reliable adjusted forecasts are suggested. This book will appeal to academics and practitioners with an interest in forecasting methodology.

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Expert Adjustments of Model Forecasts

Theory, Practice and Strategies for Improvement

Informacje o książce

Pełny opis

Możesz być zainteresowany

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