Expert Adjustments of Model Forecasts

Name: Expert Adjustments of Model Forecasts
Brand: Cambridge University Press
SKU: 9781107081598
Price: 286.85 PLN
Availability: InStock

Theory, Practice and Strategies for Improvement

Autor: Philip Hans Franses

Język:

Oprawa: Twarda

Wydawca: Cambridge University Press

Dostępność: Dostępna u dostawcy

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To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis...

Informacje o książce

Autor

Philip Hans Franses

Język

Angielski

Oprawa

Książka - Twarda

Data wydania

2014

strony

144

EAN

9781107081598

ISBN

1107081599

Enbook ID

04767526

Wydawca

Cambridge University Press

Waga

330

Wymiary

10 x 229 x 152

Pełny opis

To what extent should anybody who has to make model forecasts generated from detailed data analysis adjust their forecasts based on their own intuition? In this book, Philip Hans Franses, one of Europe's leading econometricians, presents the notion that many publicly available forecasts have experienced an 'expert's touch', and questions whether this type of intervention is useful and if a lighter adjustment would be more beneficial. Covering an extensive research area, this accessible book brings together current theoretical insights and new empirical results to examine expert adjustment from an econometric perspective. The author's analysis is based on a range of real forecasts and the datasets upon which the forecasters relied. The various motivations behind experts' modifications are considered, and guidelines for creating more useful and reliable adjusted forecasts are suggested. This book will appeal to academics and practitioners with an interest in forecasting methodology.

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Expert Adjustments of Model Forecasts

Theory, Practice and Strategies for Improvement

Informacje o książce

Pełny opis

Możesz być zainteresowany

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