Ponad 4 miliony tytułów w języku angielskim i innych językach! Odkryj swoją nową historię już dziś!

Completing the Forecast

Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts

Autor: Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, Board on Atmospheric Sciences & Climate, Division on Earth and

Język:

Oprawa: Miękka

Wydawca: National Academies Press

Dostępność: Dostępna u dostawcy w małych ilościach

Wysyłamy za 9-15 dni

189.93 zł

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological predictio...

Informacje o książce

Autor

Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, Board on Atmospheric Sciences & Climate, Division on Earth and

Język

Angielski

Oprawa

Książka - Miękka

Data wydania

2006

strony

124

EAN

9780309102551

ISBN

0309102553

Enbook ID

04578482

Wydawca

National Academies Press

Waga

390

Wymiary

282 x 217 x 12

Pełny opis

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Najczęściej wyszukiwane

Categories

Authors

Publishers

Produkty

Produkty

Najczęściej wyszukiwane

Categories

Authors

Publishers

Produkty

Produkty

Completing the Forecast

Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts

Informacje o książce

Pełny opis

Możesz być zainteresowany

Acute Rheumatic Fever & Chronic Rheumatic Heart Disease

New Grub Street

The porno twins

Pull

Pimsleur Hebrew Level 1 CD: Learn to Speak and Understand Hebrew with Pimsleur Language Programs

Immaculate Misconception

Introductory Mathematics for Engineering Applications

Living Waters

Ideographic Modernism

Kyoto Protocol in the EU

Klienci, którzy kupili tę książkę, kupili również

Preguntas provocativas

Richard Wagners Oper "Der fliegende Holländer" im Medienwechsel

Predigt von der Gemeinnutzigkeit

EN COMPAGNIE D'ARTAUD AL

FINDING THE REAL FACE - IT'S OKAY TO NOT BE OKAY (VO COREEN)