Ponad 4 miliony tytułów w języku angielskim i innych językach! Odkryj swoją nową historię już dziś!

Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis

Name: Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis
Brand: Edinburgh University Press
SKU: 9781474466356
Price: 174.67 PLN
Availability: InStock

Testing the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses Method

Autor: Martha Whitesmith

Język:

Oprawa: Miękka

Wydawca: Edinburgh University Press

Dostępność: Dostępna u dostawcy

Wysyłamy za 14-21 dni

174.67 zł

Tests whether the analysis of competing hypotheses reduces cognitive bias, and proposes a more effec...

Informacje o książce

Autor

Martha Whitesmith

Język

Angielski

Oprawa

Książka - Miękka

Data wydania

2022

strony

304

EAN

9781474466356

ISBN

1474466354

Enbook ID

38376732

Wydawca

Edinburgh University Press

Waga

470

Wymiary

234 x 156 x 24

Pełny opis

Tests whether the analysis of competing hypotheses reduces cognitive bias, and proposes a more effective approach
Reveals that a key element of current training provided to the UK and US intelligence communities (and likely all 5-EYES and several European agencies) does not have a proven ability to mitigate cognitive biasesDemonstrates that judging the credibility of information from human sources means that intelligence analysis faces greater complexity and cognitive strain than non-intelligence analysisExplains the underlying causes cognitive biases, based on meta-analyses of existing researchShows that identifying the ideal conditions for intelligence analysis is a more effective way of reducing the risk of cognitive bias than the use of ACH

Recent high-profile intelligence failures from 9/11 to the 2003 Iraq war prove that cognitive bias in intelligence analysis can have catastrophic consequences. This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). The author puts ACH to the test in an experimental setting against two key cognitive biases with unique empirical research facilitated by UKs Professional Heads of Intelligence Analysis unit at the Cabinet Office, and finds that the theoretical basis of the ACH method is significantly flawed. Combining the insight of a practitioner with over 11 years of experience in intelligence with both philosophical theory and experimental research, the author proposes an alternative approach to mitigating cognitive bias that focuses on creating the optimum environment for analysis, challenging current leading theories.

Najczęściej wyszukiwane

Categories

Authors

Publishers

Produkty

Produkty

Najczęściej wyszukiwane

Categories

Authors

Publishers

Produkty

Produkty

Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis

Testing the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses Method

Informacje o książce

Pełny opis

Możesz być zainteresowany

Horce Symbols

Astrology of Fate

Mountain Biking in the Tao

Some Aspects of the Mechanical Response of BMI 5250-4 Neat Resin at 191 C

Modern Shunga

Effective Altruism and Do No Harm

Planets in Composite: Analyzing Human Relationships

Psychocartography: Mapping the Human Dream

Starman Tarot: Remastered (Tarot Deck and Guidebook, Box Set)

Glass Half Full

Doing Business in ASEAN Markets

The problem of grief following perinatal death

Progressions

Klienci, którzy kupili tę książkę, kupili również

Babbo Natale si è rotto le palle...

Confiance et Estime de Soi: Force Mentale et Résilience

Riego Superficial Tecnificado

Facteurs déterminants la faible utilisation du service curatif

Piano Junior: Klavierschule. Bd.1